WEEKEND READING: Money’s Too Tight (to Mention) – Universities and students are on a knife edge as the party conference season and the new academic year kick off in earnest, by Nick Hillman (HEPI Director)
- As policymakers look ahead to the bigger party conferences and students and staff ready themselves for the new academic year*, HEPI Director Nick Hillman takes a look ahead. [* Except in Scotland, where it has already begun.]
- Information on HEPI’s own party conference events is available here.
Money’s Too Tight (to Mention)
When the Coalition Government for which I worked tripled tuition fees for undergraduate study to £9,000 back in 2012, it was a big and unpopular change. But it represented a real increase in support for higher education that led to real increases in the quality of the student experience, with improvements to staffing, facilities and student support services.
Because the fee rise shifted costs from taxpayers to graduates via progressive student loans, it enabled another fundamental change: the removal of student number caps in England. No longer would universities be forced to turn away ambitious applicants that they wanted to recruit. It was the final realisation of the principle that underlined the Robbins report of 1963: ‘courses of higher education should be available for all those who are qualified by ability and attainment to pursue them and who wish to do so.’ A higher proportion of students enrolled on their first-choice place. (It never ceases to amaze me how many people wish to return to a world in which your children and mine have unwarranted obstacles reimposed between them and attaining the degree they want.)
But back in 2012, no one in their wildest dreams thought the new fee level would be frozen for most of the next decade and more. After all, the fee rise was implemented using the Higher Education Act (2004), which had enabled Tony Blair to introduce the current model of tuition fees, and the Blair / Brown Governments to raise fees each year without any fuss.
Yet the political ructions caused by introducing £9,000 fees in 2012 made policymakers timid. Towards the end of the Conservatives’ time in office, Ministers bizarrely sought to make a virtue of their pusillanimity. Even as inflation was biting, the Minister for Higher Education (Rob Halfon) said raising fees was ‘not going to happen, not in a million years’.
The result has been a crisis in funding for higher education institutions that has changed their priorities. Top-end universities have looked to increase their income via more and higher (uncapped) fees from international students – hardly surprising, when an international student taking a three-year degree is worth £69,000 a year more than a home student! They have also sought to tempt UK students away from slightly less prestigious institutions.
Meanwhile, newer universities have been even more entrepreneurial. Limited in their ability to recruit lots of international students, they have instead shifted towards franchising, whereby other organisations pay them for the privilege of teaching their degrees.
Universities in the middle have had a particularly tough time. Most notably, many universities originally founded in the expansionary post-Robbins environment are struggling today. (It has been suggested that the tie-up between Kent and Greenwich is partly borne of necessity.) Plus with no fees for home students, Scottish universities have been hurting even more than those elsewhere.
Even though recruiting more people from overseas and large-scale franchising have helped some institutions to keep the wolf from the door, Ministers have condemned both. The UK Home Office want fewer international students and England’s Department for Education have promised new legislation to tackle the growth in franchising. (Six months ago, Bridget Phillipson wrote in the Sunday Times, ‘I will also bring forward new legislation at the first available opportunity to ensure the Office for Students has tough new powers to intervene quickly and robustly to protect public money’.)
No British university has ever gone bust but, as financial advisers know, the past can be a sorry guide to the future. When asked, Ministers say they would accept the closure of a university or two. But a university is usually a big local employer, a big supporter of local civic life and a source of local pride – and money. Most have been built up from public funds.
Closing a university would not just risk local upset. It would reduce confidence, including among those who lend to universities, and could even risk a domino effect, as people lose faith in the system as a whole, thereby putting the reputation of UK education at risk. So there are good reasons why, for example, Dundee University is currently being bailed out, even if it comes with a distinct whiff of moral hazard.
Bills, Bills, Bills
Students are hurting just as much as institutions. Contrary to the expectations of years gone by, the proportion of school leavers proceeding to higher education is barely rising. There is likely more than one cause, including negative rhetoric about universities from across the political spectrum and a false sense that degree apprenticeships for school leavers are plentiful.
Perhaps most significantly, maintenance support for students is nothing like enough. There are three big problems.
- The standard maximum maintenance support in England is now worth a little over £10,000, which is just half the amount students need.
- Parents are expected to support their student offspring but they are not officially told how much they should contribute.
- England’s household income threshold at which state-based maintenance support begins to be reduced has not increased for over 15 years. At £25,000, it is lower than the income of a single-earner household on the minimum wage.
As a result, according to the HEPI / Advance HE Student Academic Experience Survey, over two-thirds of students now undertake paid employment during term time, often at a number of hours that negatively affects their studies. These students are limited in their ability to take part in extra-curricular activities, for they are time poor as well as strapped for cash.
An increase in maintenance support is long overdue, just as an increase in tuition fees for home students is long overdue. But we could also perhaps help students help themselves by providing better information in advance about student life. In particular, given the epidemic of loneliness among young people, we should remind them that you are more likely to be lonely if your room is plush but you do not have enough money left over for a social life than if your living arrangements are basic but your social life is lively.
The Masterplan
The Government came to office claiming to have a plan for tackling the country’s challenges. But more than a year on, the fog has not cleared on their plans for higher education. Patience is now wearing gossamer thin. As Chris Parr of Research Professional put it on Friday, ‘Still we wait.’ As far as we can discern from what we know, it seems universities will be expected to do more for less – on civic engagement, access and economic growth.
Higher education institutions have made it clear, including through Universities UK’s Blueprint, that they are keen to play their part in national renewal. But it is not only the financial squeeze that limits their room for manoeuvre. Political chaos as well as the geography of Whitehall threaten the institutional autonomy that has been the key ingredient of UK universities’ success.
Unlike in the past, there are different regulators, Ministers and Departments for the teaching and learning functions of universities on the one hand and their research functions on the other, meaning coordinated oversight is missing. The latest machinery of government changes risk another dog’s dinner, as ‘skills’ continue to bounce around Whitehall, newly residing for now (but who knows for how long) in the Department for Work and Pensions. Meanwhile, the Department for Science, Innovation and Technology is thought to have less regard for university-based research than for research conducted elsewhere, at least in contrast to the past.
Moreover, each of the two Ministers with oversight of higher education institutions (Baroness Smith and Lord Vallance) are newly split across two Whitehall departments, with one foot in each. This sort of approach tends to be a recipe for chaos. (As I saw close up during my own time in Whitehall, split Ministers usually reside primarily in just one of their two departments, the one where their main Private Office is situated.)
The choice now is clear. If Ministers want to direct universities more than their predecessors, then they need to fund them accordingly. But if Ministers want universities to play to their own self-defined strategies in these fast-changing times, then they should reduce the barriers limiting their capacity to behave more entrepreneurially.
Comments
David Palfreyman says:
The Unit of Resource was at £X per UG per year in the 70s when funding was at the height of the Welfare State spending splurge (and marginal taxation was at 80% and more!).
Then come 1981 cuts in HE spending plus the massification of UK HE (student numbers double by the late-90s) – resulting in the UofR being half £X by 1999.
In comes ‘cost-sharing’ as the £1000 tuition fees gets through the Commons by 5 (sic) votes despite Blair’s massive 1997 majority.
Then £1000 becomes £3000 and next £9000 – pretty well all UG cost apart from a bit of subsidy for STEM is pushed on to the student/family (an outlier of public policy relative to other nations; albeit with a fairly fair loans system – but still means the piling up of graduate debt…).
As Nick says nobody expected the £9000 to freeze for a decade and longer – resulting in the UofR by now being back to where it was in 1999!
And the milch-cow of earning hefty income from international students is drying up while the recovery of overheads on R-activity is fading so R needs ever more subsidy (as once came easily from those earnings on international students).
Plus now compared to the 80s/90s some Us have saddled themselves with huge debt during the borrowing- binge of the 2010s (hence the talk of the bankers taking a strong interest in a U’s financial projections…).
No likely solution by way of extra cash for HE when the demands for funding health, schools, police, and now defence trump HE? Perhaps some new money for FE as vocational TE? Could be a bit of give by way of ‘regional development’ monies? But overall Us are in for a rough time unless the international student earner recovers? And all this before the demographic decline hits from 2030…
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Alex Windsor says:
It’s very sad that HEPI continues to use its powerful voice to propagandise blithely for the benefits of the total abolition of numbers caps. Far from creating ‘unwarranted obstacles’, an element of capping would have undeniably saved universities from the worst aspects of free market competition, which has only encouraged the emergence of the brand-driven expansionist practices of the Russell Group cartel. In the process, it has destroyed any sense of a common, interdependent sector which can seek common solutions. It’s also clearly not been beneficial for many students, who don’t receive a high quality of education or adequate support in return for their ‘choice’. Arguably it’s not been good even for the Russell Group, much of which can no longer by any stretch of the imagination be described as ‘elite’. The consequences of this new policy were not anticipated nor, as is common with so much that comes out of Whitehall, even thought through. The hand-wringing about the potential loss of universities here feels insincere. Instead a little more humility would be welcome.
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Paul Wiltshire says:
HEPI’s powerful voice exists because it is funded by the Universities themselves. Little surprise then that it will tend to advocate for policies that will suit the HE Sector’s commercial interests of profit and growth.
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Nick Hillman says:
Paul, I think you might have misunderstood Alex’s point. He seems to be complaining that my piece above does not sufficiently defend the interests of institutions. And as you know, far from pushing any one line, HEPI is a (very) broad church and we have even printed your own anti-university arguments, as in your HEPI blog entitled ‘The fall in graduate salaries shows the argument for mass entry to higher education has failed’.
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Paul Wiltshire says:
Nick,
My comments were general rather than specific to anything in the article, and merely stated that HEPI is highly likely, on the whole, to advocate policies in the interests of the HE sector given that HEPI is funded by the HE Sector. Of course from time to time HEPI will publish different perspectives, but pieces like mine which air concerns about Mass HE are far less prevalent. None of my work in anti-university per se as you state; what I am advocating is that we need to reduce numbers attending as there is growing evidence that far too graduates are emerging with just a debt and no better career prospects. I would have thought that the vast majority of people would also agree that this isn’t a good outcome that we should try to avoid if we can.
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Nick Hillman says:
Thanks for engaging Alex. The site is a forum for debate. I am personally vehemently opposed to student number caps because I think they put the interests of institutions ahead of the interests of students and because there are other ways to tackle unwanted instability in the higher education sector. So I am very proud to have helped work to end them in my previous job. But just to be really really clear, HEPI as an organisation does not have a view on number caps and we’ve published pieces for and against – here is a piece, for example, from 2024 by our Founder and President calling for some form of number controls: https://www.hepi.ac.uk/reports/student-demand-to-2035/. It is our job to encourage people to think / debate and we will continue to do that on this issue as on so many others. (As a non-partisan charity, it would be as wrong for HEPI to lobby for caps in the way you might perhaps favour as it would be for us organisationally to run a campaign against caps.) If you would like to explain your thoughts in more detail in a HEPI blog of your own arguing for caps, do drop me an email.
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Gavin Moodie says:
As incongruous as it is, the governments of Australia, Ontario and some USA states have increased their regulation of universities while cutting their funding.
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