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2022 HEPI Soft-Power Index: UK slips further behind the US for the fifth year running

  • 22 August 2022
  • By Nick Hillman, HEPI Director

The Higher Education Policy Institute has published its annual Soft-Power Index, which shows how many serving world leaders were educated in countries other than their own.

In the first year of the Index (2017), there were more world leaders who had been educated in the UK than in any other country, including the US. But the US overtook the UK in 2018 and then extended its lead in 2019, 2020 and 2021.

The results for 2022 show a further improvement in the performance of the US. Today, there are ten more serving world leaders (67) who were educated in the US than there were in 2017 and three fewer who were educated in the UK (55). As a result, the gap between the UK and the US has shifted from +1 to -12.

The US has built up such a commanding lead over every other country that it seems impossible to beat in the short to medium term. However, the UK remains in a comfortable second place and France remains in third place, having educated 31 serving leaders, considerably ahead of Russia in fourth place (on 10). There are 19 world leaders who appear to have had no higher education of any sort, whether in their own country or abroad.

Australia (-3 on 2021) and Switzerland (+2) have each educated seven current serving world leaders, while Canada (+1) and Germany (+1) have educated six and Italy (+1) and South Africa (+/-0) have educated five.

World leaders educated in countries other than their own

 201720182019202020212022
US5758 (+1)62 (+4)61 (-1)65 (+4)67 (+2)
UK5857 (-1)59 (+2)56 (-3)57 (+1)55 (-2)
UK/US gap+1-1-3-5-8-12
France3440 (+6)40 (+/-0)35 (-5)30 (-5)31 (+1)
Russia910 (+1)10 (+/-0)10 (+/-0)10 (+/-0)10 (+/-0)
       

The well-known soft-power benefits to the UK of educating so many people from other countries have previously been described as follows:

The combination of positive HE [higher education] experiences and positive perceptions of the UK, its people and culture, result in an emotional bond between alumni and the UK, extending the UK’s power of soft diplomacy. The trust created underpins support for the UK and its products, culture and language, resulting in brand loyalty for UK goods and travel to the UK for leisure, the promulgation of UK values during capacity building at home, and in the choice of UK partners when entering international business collaborations. (Source: https://dera.ioe.ac.uk/18261/1/13-1172-wider-benefits-of-international-higher-education-in-the-uk.pdf)

The Soft-Power Index is a rough-and-ready way of measuring the influence of different states that HEPI undertakes each summer. While it shows a clear trend, it should be supplemented with other information before coming to firm conclusions about the global standing of any one country or its educational system.

In part, the Index reflects past trends, given the time that typically elapses between someone choosing where to study and reaching a top position in their home country.

Nick Hillman, the Director of HEPI, said:

For the past six years, HEPI has calculated the number of serving world leaders educated outside their home countries. When we began, the UK was – just – at the top of the tree. In each year since, the UK has continued to perform well but the US has gradually built up a commanding lead that seems unbeatable, at least in the short term.

It is often rightly said that two points are not enough to confirm a trend. But we now have data for six consecutive years and the trend is very very clear. Compared to the baseline year of 2017, the relative position of the United States has improved in every year, including 2022, thanks to its world-beating university system.

The good news for those who care about the UK’s standing in the world is that the rules for international students have continued to improve, most recently earlier this month with the ending of compulsory police registration for international students. The newish Graduate Route Visa, which makes it easier for international students to stay in the UK to work, is proving attractive and the total number of people from other countries studying for UK higher education qualifications continues to grow.

International students improve the experience of all students by diversifying our campuses and underwriting the financial position of UK universities. Some people responded to last week’s exam results by calling for new restrictions on international students, but it would be better if the next Prime Minister were to continue the opening up of UK higher education to international students that has taken place recently. They should reject the more restrictive approach followed between 2010 and 2019.

The current Westminster Government is committed to supporting the development of soft power, as outlined in its updated Educational Exports Strategy:

The government’s approach to international education is rooted in a desire to build lasting and positive relationships around the world and establish the UK’s global position as a partner of choice. It is paramount that the government continues to develop the UK’s soft power globally and supports the UK education sector to build its expertise. Encouraging the sector to export its products and services is key to this approach. (Source: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/international-education-strategy-2021-update/international-education-strategy-2021-update-supporting-recovery-driving-growth)

Notable changes since summer 2021 which affect this year’s results for the UK include the following (shown in more detail in the table at the bottom):

  1. Armen Sarkissian, who spent time at the University of Cambridge, stopped being President of Armenia in February 2022.
  2. Carlos Andrés Alvarado Quesada, who studied at the University of Sussex, stopped being President of Costa Rica in May 2022.
  3. José Ramos-Horta, who is a Senior Associate Member of St Antony’s College, Oxford, became President of East Timor in May 2022.
  4. Hassan Diab, who studied in Leeds, Surrey and Bath, stopped being Prime Minister of Lebanon in September 2021.
  5. Carlos Agostinho do Rosário, who studied at Wye College, stopped being Prime Minister of Mozambique in March 2022.
  6. Imran Khan, who studied at the University of Oxford, stopped being Prime Minister of Pakistan in April 2022.
  7. Bongbong Marcos, who studied at the University of Oxford, became the President of the Philippines in June 2022.
  8. Abdalla Hamdok, who studied at the University of Manchester, stopped being Prime Minister of Sudan in January 2022.
  9. Siaosi Sovaleni, who studied in Oxford, became the Prime Minister of Tonga in December 2021.
  10. Nikenike Vurobaravu, who studied at the University of Westminster, became President of Vanuatu in July 2022.
  11. Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi, who studied at Sandhurst, stopped being President of Yemen in April 2022.
  12. Hakainde Hichilema, who studied at the University of Birmingham, became President of Zambia in late August 2021.

East Timor, the Philippines, Vanuatu and Zambia appear in the list for the UK for first time since the Soft-Power Index began in 2017. Meanwhile, Armenia, Costa Rica, Lebanon, Pakistan, Sudan and Yemen, which all featured in the Index for the UK last year, no longer appear in 2022.

Countries led by one or more senior leaders educated in the UK, 2022

The 67 world leaders educated in the United States lead the following countries: Bahrain (2); Belgium (2); Belize (1); Bhutan (2); Botswana (1); Bulgaria (2); Colombia (1); Costa Rica (1); Dominica (1); Dominican Republic (1); East Timor (1); Egypt (1); Eswatini (1); Georgia (1); Greece (1); Guinea (1); Guinea-Bissau (1); Guyana (1); Haiti (1); Ireland (1); Israel (1); Italy (1); Ivory Coast (2); Jordan (2); Kenya (1); Latvia (1); Lebanon (2); Lesotho (1); Liberia (1); Malawi (1); Marshall Islands (1); Micronesia (1); Moldova (2); Monaco (1); Mongolia (1); Namibia (2); Nigeria (1); Pakistan (1); Palau (1); Panama (1); Paraguay (1); Philippines (1); Poland (1); Qatar (1); Rwanda (1); Serbia (1); Sierra Leone (1); Singapore (1); Slovenia (1); Somalia (1); South Korea (1); Spain (1); Sri Lanka (1); Sweden (1); Tanzania (1); Togo (2); and Tonga (1).

Notes for Editors

  1. World leaders are defined as heads of state and heads of government (such as monarchs, presidents and prime ministers). We look at 356 postholders around the world. Countries typically have more than one leader, such as a president plus a prime minister.
  2. Countries are included if they are members of, or observers at, the United Nations, currently amounting to 195 places. This means Palestine is included but Taiwan and Northern Cyprus are excluded.
  3. The Soft-Power Index is a measurement of tertiary education only, but this is defined broadly. It includes attendance at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, for example. Distance learning and transnational education are excluded as the soft-power benefits are thought to be lower.
  4. Leaders change throughout the year, so we provide a snapshot for early August 2022. Each country is treated equally, irrespective of wealth, influence or power.
  5. We count how many world leaders were educated outside their home country; we do not claim each and every result provides evidence of positive soft power. No one is excluded on moral grounds.
  6. Some people are educated in more than one other country and they can therefore count towards the total number provided for more than one country.
  7. The educational background of some national leaders is opaque and there are many moving parts to this research. So HEPI particularly welcomes any feedback that would enable us to build up a more complete picture.
  8. Education in someone’s own home country is excluded. So, for example, Boris Johnson’s UK degree and Joe Biden’s US degree do not appear in the UK or US numbers.
  9. Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II is the head of state of many countries but, as she did not attend a higher education institution, this does not affect the numbers.
  10. HEPI’s other work on international students, generally undertaken with other organisations – including Kaplan International Pathways, London Economics and the Universities UK International Unit –  can be found on the HEPI website.
Leader educated in the UK
201720182019202020212022
Antigua and
Barbuda (Gaston Browne)
111111
Armenia 011110
Australia 110000
Bahrain
(Sheikh Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa & Prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa)a & Prince
Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa)
222222
Barbados (Mia
Mottley)
011111
Belgium (King
Philippe)
111111
Bhutan (Jigme
Khesar Namgyel Wangchuck)uck)
111111
Bosnia and
Herzegovina
110000
Bolivia (Luis
Arce)
000011
Botswana 100000
Brunei
(Hassanal Bolkiah)
111111
Burma 211100
Cameroon
(Joseph Ngute)
001111
Columbia 100000
Costa Rica011110
Cyprus (Nicos
Anastasiades)
111111
Denmark (Queen
Margrethe II)
111111
Dominica
(Charles Savarin)
111111
East Timor
(José Ramos-Horta)
000001
Egypt (Abdel
Fattah el-Sisi)
111111
The Gambia
(Adama Barrow)
111111
Ghana (Nana
Akufo-Addo)
111111
Guyana (Mark
Phillips)
111111
Hungary
(Viktor Orbán)
111111
Iceland (Guðni
Th. Jóhannesson)
111111
Iran 111100
Iraq (Barham
Salih)
111111
Ireland
(Michael D Higgins)
111111
Italy 011100
Japan (Emperor
Naruhito)
001111
Jordan (King Abdullah II & Bisher Al-Khasawneh)awneh)111122
Lebanon000110
Lesotho (King
Letsie III)
111111
Liechtenstein
(Hereditary Prince Alois)
111111
Luxembourg
(Grand Duke Henri)
111111
Malawi 111000
Malaysia
(Abdullah of Pahang)
211111
Malta (George
Vella)
112111
Mauritius (Prithvirajsing Roopun & Pravi Jugnauth)nd Jugnauth)211222
Monaco (Prince
Albert II)
111111
Mozambique
(Filipe Nyusi)
222221
Namibia (Hage
Geingob)
111111
Nepal (Sher
Bahadur Deuba)
100011
Nigeria
(Muhammadu Buhari)
211111
Norway (King
Harald V)
111111
Oman (Haitham
bin Tariq)
111111
Pakistan011110
Palestine
(Mohammad Shtayyeh)
111111
Peru 211000
Philippines
(Bongbong Marcos)
000001
Qatar
(Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani)
222111
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (Ralph Gonsalves) Gonsalves)111111
Serbia (Ana
Brnabić)
111111
Seychelles
(Wavel Ramkalawan)
000011
Sierra
Leone (Julius Maada Bio)
022211
Singapore (Lee
Hsien Loong)
111111
Somalia111000
Sudan000110
Switzerland
(Karin Keller-Sutter)
001111
Syria (Bashar
al-Assad)
111111
Tanzania
(Samia Suluhu Hassan)
000011
Tonga
(King Tupou VI and Siaosi Sovaleni)i)
111112
Tuvalu 111000
United Arab
Emirates (Khalifa bin Zayed Al Nahyan & Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum)Al Nahyan &
Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum)
222222
Vanuatu
(Nikenike Vurobaravu)
000001
Yemen 111110
Zambia
(Hakainde Hichilema)
000001
TOTAL585759565755
       

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